Friday, August 13, 2010

Ball v.1.44

Was at the Rogers Cup yesterday. Sat in awe watching a couple pros work. Not talking about Federer or Murray... actually talking about Bruce Arthur & Michael Grange, but I digress.

ANYWAYS, actually considered heading down to the ACC to watch Canada/France. That is, I considered it until I went online to look at ticket prices. It cost $90 for two tickets in the lower bowl. Add in parking, a beer or two, and some food, and you're looking at a $200 night for two people to watch the game in decent seats. Are you kidding me?

So, naturally, I was curious to see what the final paid attendance would be for the game. Sure enough, it was embarrassing: just over 2500 people were at the game.

More embarrassing than the attendance however, were people's reactions to it. Various scribes and fans (via Twitter) were using it as source for an argument that the fans of this city should be ashamed for not supporting their national basketball team. Again: Are you kidding me? The story is how out of touch Canada Basketball is for putting these prices so out of whack with reality.

If they really knew what they were doing, they would have scheduled a Saturday/Sunday slate of games with both set in the afternoon. Make the Sunday game a "for the kids" event. Everyone 12-and-under gets a ticket for $10 bucks, no questions asked.

The goal of these games shouldn't have been a profit. It should have been to put on the best possible event with the best possible atmosphere. They failed.

Wednesday, August 4, 2010

Ball v.1.43

Here's what I've decided about our boy Andrea Bargnani after reading yesterday's comments: He is a polarizing figure. He's Vernon Wells, or Larry Murphy... our own Sarah Palin.

All that being said, I still maintain he doesn't get enough credit for how unique of a player he is...

So, here are a few more ways Bargnani is a unique player:

MOST CAREER 3PT FG
7-0 OR TALLER

Dirk Nowitzki 1131
Andrea Bargnani 430
Arvydas Sabonis 136
Vlade Divac 100

HIGHEST CAREER FT%
7-0 OR TALLER

Dirk Nowitzki 87.6%
Yao Ming 83.2%
Andrea Bargnani 81.5%
Brook Lopez 81.0%
Yi Jianlian 80.5%

LOWEST REBOUNDS PER 36 MINUTES
7-0 OR TALLER

Brad Sellers 5.4
Nikoloz Tskitishvili 5.7
Andrea Bargnani 6.0
Jason Collins 6.6
Daniel Santiago 6.6

STAT OF THE DAY

So, he's unique. Can we all agree on that? Anyways, here's the biggest reason why I'm bullish on Bargnani: Check out the various per game categories he's improved in two straight seasons

Minutes
Field Goals
FG%
3PT Att
Off Reb
Def Reb
Blocks
Points

Again, will it all likely lead to a 35-win season... Perhaps. But I'm starting to think Bargnani averages 20+.

Tuesday, August 3, 2010

Ball v.1.42

Lost in all the incessant chatter about Chris Bosh's effort level and Hedo Turkoglu's parting shots is the key question of the off-season (which I'm sure people will get to eventually): Can this team be even reasonably good?

While I won't fully answer until closer to the start of the season, I've been thinking a lot about "how" to answer that question.

First, I want to talk about the conventional wisdom: The CV says without Chris Bosh, this team will be led by a one-dimensional (that dimension being offence) post player and will be absolutely awful defensively.

Here's my question: Wasn't last year's team led by a one-dimensional post player and weren't they absolutely awful defensively?

My point is this: I think any frontcourt combination the Raptors throw out there this season will be better defensively than the Bosh-Bargnani duo we saw for the past few seasons.

My secondary point is this: I think any questions about how good this team can be this season revolve around Andrea Bargnani's ability to shoulder a heavier load. This is obviously a cliche angle that will be followed by all the conventional media outlets, but sometimes the obvious answer is the right one.

Here's where I differ from the CV: I think Bargnani can handle his new role.

STAT OF THE DAY

Here is a list of 7-footers that have averaged over 17 pts per game in a season before turning 25 (listed in chronological order):

Andrea Bargnani
Brook Lopez
Yao Ming
Pau Gasol
Dirk Nowitzki
Shaquille O'Neal
David Robinson
Kevin Duckworth
Brad Daugherty
Hakeem Olajuwon
Patrick Ewing
Ralph Sampson
Joe Barry Caroll
Bill Cartwright
Artis Gilmore
Elmore Smith
Kareeem Abdul-Jabbar
Wilt Chamberlain

A few caveats before I move along with my point: Yes, there are many players who were probably 6'10 or 6'11 who also averaged 17 pts per game before they hit 25 years of age, I understand. Secondly, I understand 16 or so of the players listed above are better defensive players than Bargnani.

All that being said, the point still stands: As a young 7-footer that can score, Bargnani is an extremely rare commodity.

QUICK ASIDE OF THE DAY

There's an interesting phenomenon that exists in Toronto and I'm not sure it exists elsewhere. While most cities love to coddle their young players and love watching them grow, Toronto seems to be the exact opposite (unless said player happens to be wearing a Leaf jersey---I'm talking to you Nazem Kadri). Toronto fans and media love to jump all over young Blue Jays and Raptors if they don't fall into that 1% of their league that shines right from the start.

My (least) favourite example:

Chris Carpenter was a supremely talented pitcher who was rushed to the major leagues. Despite the fast track, he still fought his way to a .500 career record with the Jays when his contract was up for renewal following an injury-plagued 2002 campaign. Though Carpenter would have to miss all of the following season due to injury, he wasn't asking for much money to re-sign. However, Toronto had had enough. Get him out of town. Good riddance. Career underachiever! Well, from 2004 to today pitching for the St. Louis Cardinals, Carpenter has a .745 win%, which is best in all of baseball over that time.

BACK TO BARGNANI

So how does Chris Carpenter relate to Andrea Bargnani? Well, we love to focus on everything Bargnani hasn't accomplished to date: He isn't a ferocious rebounder, he doesn't like the low post, he has yet to learn how to breath with his mouth closed, etc... But Raptor fans need to realize what they actually have: A uniquely talented, young, post player locked up in a long-term, reasonably priced contract.

As I said earlier, I think he can handle the heavier load, and here's one of the biggest reasons why:

STAT OF THE DAY #2

Andrea Bargnani
Fouls per 36 minutes

2006-07 4.0 (6.8)
2007-08 4.1 (6.3)
2008-09 3.6 (7.5)
2009-10 2.8 (7.7)

In other words, he's learning how to stay on the floor. The number in brackets, by the way, is a summation of his rebounds & blocks per 36 minutes. In other words, though he's fouling less often each season, he's actually increasing his defensive activity at the same time. This is all progress.

Listen, end of the day, I'm not coming out and saying this is a playoff team. But I'm also not saying they're necessarily going to be awful. All I'm saying is Andrea Bargnani is actually better than most people give him credit for...

(note: I hate ending a sentence, let alone an entire post, with a word like "for"... but I'm not really sure how to change that last paragraph, and I'm also pretty hungry... so there)